2026 team analysis

An early read on the completed draft — before a single snap.

Napkin maths. Grades weigh a projected starting-lineup total against the average pick − ADP per pick (positive = players fell to you), both z-scored across the twelve teams. With ~50 keepers off the board every team drafts ahead of raw ADP, so the value figures skew negative — it is the gap between teams that the grade reads. ADP is a preseason guess anyway.

Draft grades

#	Manager	Grade	Proj. starters	Avg pick − ADP	z(pts)	z(val)
1	hlougher · slot 9, 4th in 2025	A	1754	-6.9	+1.88	+2.04
2	BrookeyT · slot 4, 10th in 2025	A	1662	-10.4	+0.49	+1.45
3	TimMarzenell · slot 2, 8th in 2025	A-	1689	-18.2	+0.88	+0.14
4	FurstyFerret · slot 7, 6th in 2025	A-	1663	-15.9	+0.49	+0.52
5	Hackland11 · slot 10, 3rd in 2025	A-	1690	-19.1	+0.90	-0.01
6	nateg94 · slot 1, 7th in 2025	B+	1668	-19.7	+0.57	-0.11
7	PaddyTynes · slot 12, 1st in 2025	B	1592	-15.0	-0.57	+0.68
8	alistairc · slot 6, 12th in 2025	C+	1611	-23.5	-0.29	-0.75
9	jallison · slot 3, 9th in 2025	C+	1598	-23.1	-0.50	-0.69
10	JohnnyLime · slot 5, 11th in 2025	C	1557	-22.7	-1.11	-0.62
11	JamieRS · slot 8, 5th in 2025	C	1572	-28.0	-0.89	-1.51
12	SaschaLime · slot 11, 2nd in 2025	C	1509	-25.7	-1.84	-1.12

hlougher — UnWarranted optimism

#1 of 12 · draft slot 9 · finished 4th last year · 15 picks (4 kept)

Proj. starters1754

Total pick − ADP -76

Avg / pick -6.9

QB 2 RB 5 WR 5 TE 1 K 1 DEF 1

Best value Jared Goff QB pick 153, ADP 142 (+11)

Biggest reach Tyler Loop K pick 150, ADP 191 (-31)

All 15 picks

Pick	Player			ADP	Value
9 R1	Saquon Barkley	RB		11	-2
16 R2	Ashton Jeanty	RB		18	-2
33 R3	Tee Higgins	WR		39	-6
40 R4	Tyler Warren	TE		51	-11
52 R5	Joe Burrow	QB		53	-1
69 R6	Chase Brown	RB	kept	16	—
81 R7	Javonte Williams	RB	kept	30	—
88 R8	Jordan Addison	WR		102	-14
105 R9	Michael Pittman	WR		109	-4
115 R10	Nico Collins	WR	kept	22	—
129 R11	New England Patriots	DEF		138	-9
150 R13	Tyler Loop	K		191	-31
153 R13	Jared Goff	QB		142	+11
160 R14	Tyjae Spears	RB		168	-8
177 R15	Quentin Johnston	WR	kept	103	—

BrookeyT — Birds of Trey

#2 of 12 · draft slot 4 · finished 10th last year · 15 picks (4 kept)

Proj. starters1662

Total pick − ADP -114

Avg / pick -10.4

QB 2 RB 4 WR 5 TE 2 K 1 DEF 1

Best value Rashid Shaheed WR pick 172, ADP 149 (+23)

Biggest reach Emmett Johnson RB pick 124, ADP 178 (-54)

All 15 picks

Pick	Player			ADP	Value
4 R1	James Cook	RB		7	-3
21 R2	David Montgomery	RB		42	-21
28 R3	Rashee Rice	WR	kept	32	—
45 R4	Davante Adams	WR		54	-9
57 R5	Quinshon Judkins	RB	kept	48	—
64 R6	Justin Herbert	QB		80	-16
76 R7	Makai Lemon	WR		90	-14
93 R8	Isaiah Likely	TE		108	-14
100 R9	Dak Prescott	QB		86	+14
117 R10	Philadelphia Eagles	DEF		132	-15
124 R11	Emmett Johnson	RB		178	-54
141 R12	Cam Little	K		146	-5
148 R13	Trey McBride	TE	kept	26	—
165 R14	Josh Downs	WR	kept	115	—
172 R15	Rashid Shaheed	WR		149	+23

A-

TimMarzenell — JSN the Membrane

#3 of 12 · draft slot 2 · finished 8th last year · 15 picks (4 kept)

Proj. starters1689

Total pick − ADP -200

Avg / pick -18.2

QB 1 RB 5 WR 6 TE 1 K 1 DEF 1

Best value Bijan Robinson RB pick 2, ADP 3 (-1)

Biggest reach Mike Washington RB pick 71, ADP 123 (-52)

All 15 picks

Pick	Player			ADP	Value
2 R1	Bijan Robinson	RB		3	-1
23 R2	Garrett Wilson	WR		46	-23
26 R3	Tetairoa McMillan	WR		39	-13
38 R4	Mike Evans	WR		63	-25
43 R4	TreVeyon Henderson	RB		60	-16
54 R5	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	kept	9	—
71 R6	Mike Washington	RB		123	-52
74 R7	Jakobi Meyers	WR	kept	135	—
95 R8	Chris Rodriguez	RB		127	-32
98 R9	Bucky Irving	RB	kept	48	—
119 R10	Mark Andrews	TE		124	-5
122 R11	Deebo Samuel	WR		134	-12
143 R12	Minnesota Vikings	DEF		156	-13
146 R13	Jake Bates	K		155	-9
167 R14	Matthew Stafford	QB	kept	106	—

A-

FurstyFerret — Chonky McLadds 🏆🏆

#4 of 12 · draft slot 7 · finished 6th last year · 15 picks (4 kept)

Proj. starters1663

Total pick − ADP -175

Avg / pick -15.9

QB 3 RB 4 WR 4 TE 2 K 1 DEF 1

Best value Patrick Mahomes QB pick 127, ADP 116 (+11)

Biggest reach Tank Bigsby RB pick 103, ADP 154 (-51)

All 15 picks

Pick	Player			ADP	Value
7 R1	Christian McCaffrey	RB		5	+2
18 R2	Josh Allen	QB		21	-3
31 R3	Ladd McConkey	WR	kept	35	—
42 R4	Rome Odunze	WR		63	-21
55 R5	Brock Bowers	TE	kept	23	—
66 R6	Marvin Harrison	WR		73	-7
79 R7	KC Concepcion	WR		110	-31
90 R8	Dalton Kincaid	TE		94	-4
103 R9	Tank Bigsby	RB		154	-51
114 R10	Denver Broncos	DEF		121	-7
127 R11	Patrick Mahomes	QB		116	+11
138 R12	Kaytron Allen	RB		234	-43
151 R13	Will Reichard	K		172	-21
162 R14	Jaxson Dart	QB	kept	111	—
175 R15	Kyle Monangai	RB	kept	100	—

A-

Hackland11 — Insane in the Achane

#5 of 12 · draft slot 10 · finished 3rd last year · 15 picks (4 kept)

Proj. starters1690

Total pick − ADP -210

Avg / pick -19.1

QB 2 RB 6 WR 4 TE 1 K 1 DEF 1

Best value Derrick Henry RB pick 10, ADP 15 (-5)

Biggest reach Zach Charbonnet RB pick 87, ADP 143 (-56)

All 15 picks

Pick	Player			ADP	Value
10 R1	Derrick Henry	RB		15	-5
15 R2	Drake London	WR		21	-6
34 R3	Jameson Williams	WR		58	-24
39 R4	Josh Jacobs	RB		55	-16
58 R5	De'Von Achane	RB	kept	14	—
63 R6	J.K. Dobbins	RB		84	-21
82 R7	Jayden Reed	WR		99	-17
87 R8	Zach Charbonnet	RB		143	-56
106 R9	Sam LaPorta	TE	kept	63	—
111 R10	Romeo Doubs	WR		130	-19
130 R11	Cameron Dicker	K		139	-9
135 R12	Kyler Murray	QB		151	-16
154 R13	Detroit Lions	DEF		173	-19
159 R14	Drake Maye	QB	kept	53	—
178 R15	Blake Corum	RB	kept	93	—

B+

nateg94 — T-Gore

#6 of 12 · draft slot 1 · finished 7th last year · 15 picks (4 kept)

Proj. starters1668

Total pick − ADP -217

Avg / pick -19.7

QB 1 RB 3 WR 7 TE 2 K 1 DEF 1

Best value Seattle Seahawks DEF pick 121, ADP 113 (+8)

Biggest reach Brandon Aubrey K pick 97, ADP 138 (-42)

All 15 picks

Pick	Player			ADP	Value
1 R1	Jahmyr Gibbs	RB		1	+0
24 R2	Zay Flowers	WR		40	-16
25 R3	D'Andre Swift	RB		46	-21
48 R4	Chris Godwin	WR		88	-40
49 R5	Chuba Hubbard	RB		80	-31
72 R6	Tucker Kraft	TE		67	+5
73 R7	Courtland Sutton	WR		83	-10
89 R8	Wan'Dale Robinson	WR		123	-34
96 R8	Kyle Pitts	TE	kept	71	—
97 R9	Brandon Aubrey	K		138	-42
121 R11	Seattle Seahawks	DEF		113	+8
144 R12	Tre Tucker	WR		184	-37
145 R13	Parker Washington	WR	kept	69	—
168 R14	Alec Pierce	WR	kept	93	—
169 R15	Trevor Lawrence	QB	kept	98	—

PaddyTynes — It Hurts That I've Peaked

#7 of 12 · draft slot 12 · finished 1st last year · 15 picks (4 kept)

Proj. starters1592

Total pick − ADP -165

Avg / pick -15.0

QB 1 RB 5 WR 5 TE 2 K 1 DEF 1

Best value Justin Jefferson WR pick 12, ADP 12 (+0)

Biggest reach Rachaad White RB pick 85, ADP 126 (-41)

All 15 picks

Pick	Player			ADP	Value
12 R1	Justin Jefferson	WR		12	+0
13 R2	Kenneth Walker	RB		18	-5
36 R3	Terry McLaurin	WR		55	-19
37 R4	Jaylen Warren	RB		67	-30
60 R5	Jalen Hurts	QB		62	-2
61 R6	Chris Olave	WR	kept	30	—
84 R7	Aaron Jones	RB		115	-31
85 R8	Rachaad White	RB		126	-41
108 R9	Stefon Diggs	WR		109	-1
109 R10	Jake Ferguson	TE		118	-9
132 R11	Jason Myers	K		140	-8
133 R12	Tyrone Tracy	RB		152	-19
156 R13	Jacksonville Jaguars	DEF	kept	158	—
157 R14	Juwan Johnson	TE	kept	163	—
180 R15	Michael Wilson	WR	kept	90	—

C+

alistairc — RB Handcuff Anonymous

#8 of 12 · draft slot 6 · finished 12th last year · 16 picks (5 kept)

Proj. starters1611

Total pick − ADP -258

Avg / pick -23.5

QB 1 RB 7 WR 5 TE 1 K 1 DEF 1

Best value Amon-Ra St. Brown WR pick 6, ADP 8 (-2)

Biggest reach Kaelon Black RB pick 91, ADP 161 (-70)

All 16 picks

Pick	Player			ADP	Value
6 R1	Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR		8	-2
20 R2	DeVonta Smith	WR		33	-13
32 R3	Lamar Jackson	QB		35	-3
44 R4	George Pickens	WR	kept	26	—
47 R4	Rhamondre Stevenson	RB	kept	69	—
50 R5	Tony Pollard	RB		76	-26
59 R5	Jacory Croskey-Merritt	RB		101	-42
67 R6	RJ Harvey	RB		85	-18
78 R7	Los Angeles Rams	DEF		95	-17
91 R8	Kaelon Black	RB		161	-70
102 R9	Jonah Coleman	RB		147	-45
112 R10	Matthew Golden	WR		118	-6
126 R11	Ka'imi Fairbairn	K		141	-15
163 R14	Jordan Mason	RB	kept	92	—
174 R15	Harold Fannin	TE	kept	78	—
179 R15	Christian Watson	WR	kept	65	—

C+

jallison — Carnell University

#9 of 12 · draft slot 3 · finished 9th last year · 15 picks (4 kept)

Proj. starters1598

Total pick − ADP -254

Avg / pick -23.1

QB 1 RB 4 WR 7 TE 1 K 1 DEF 1

Best value Ja'Marr Chase WR pick 3, ADP 4 (-1)

Biggest reach Denzel Boston WR pick 123, ADP 170 (-47)

All 15 picks

Pick	Player			ADP	Value
3 R1	Ja'Marr Chase	WR		4	-1
22 R2	Breece Hall	RB		31	-9
27 R3	Jadarian Price	RB		52	-25
46 R4	Carnell Tate	WR		71	-25
51 R5	Jonathon Brooks	RB		87	-36
70 R6	Jayden Daniels	QB	kept	72	—
75 R7	De'Zhaun Stribling	WR		111	-36
94 R8	Colston Loveland	TE	kept	44	—
99 R9	Luther Burden	WR	kept	60	—
118 R10	Xavier Worthy	WR		129	-11
123 R11	Denzel Boston	WR		170	-47
142 R12	Pittsburgh Steelers	DEF		159	-17
147 R13	Caleb Douglas	WR		200	-34
166 R14	Harrison Butker	K		178	-12
171 R15	Rico Dowdle	RB	kept	81	—

JohnnyLime — Lets go, Brandon! 🏆

#10 of 12 · draft slot 5 · finished 11th last year · 14 picks (4 kept)

Proj. starters1557

Total pick − ADP -227

Avg / pick -22.7

QB 2 RB 5 WR 4 TE 1 K 1 DEF 1

Best value Evan McPherson K pick 164, ADP 154 (+10)

Biggest reach Najee Harris RB pick 116, ADP 657 (-65)

All 14 picks

Pick	Player			ADP	Value
5 R1	Jonathan Taylor	RB		5	+0
19 R2	Malik Nabers	WR		29	-10
30 R3	DJ Moore	WR		50	-20
56 R5	Cam Skattebo	RB	kept	36	—
68 R6	DK Metcalf	WR		78	-10
77 R7	Kenny Gainwell	RB		106	-29
92 R8	Caleb Williams	QB	kept	74	—
101 R9	Ja'Kobi Lane	WR		148	-47
116 R10	Najee Harris	RB		657	-65
125 R11	Baltimore Ravens	DEF		136	-11
136 R12	Isiah Pacheco	RB		192	-45
140 R12	Brock Purdy	QB	kept	128	—
164 R14	Evan McPherson	K		154	+10
173 R15	Hunter Henry	TE	kept	149	—

JamieRS — Why so Sad-iq, Joe? 🏆

#11 of 12 · draft slot 8 · finished 5th last year · 17 picks (4 kept)

Proj. starters1572

Total pick − ADP -364

Avg / pick -28.0

QB 2 RB 5 WR 7 TE 1 K 1 DEF 1

Best value Baker Mayfield QB pick 176, ADP 164 (+12)

Biggest reach Malik Washington WR pick 113, ADP 184 (-68)

All 17 picks

Pick	Player			ADP	Value
8 R1	CeeDee Lamb	WR		12	-4
17 R2	Jeremiyah Love	RB		28	-10
29 R3	Travis Etienne	RB	kept	37	—
41 R4	Jaylen Waddle	WR	kept	44	—
62 R6	MarShawn Lloyd	RB		98	-36
65 R6	Brian Thomas	WR		75	-10
80 R7	Jalen Coker	WR		144	-64
104 R9	Travis Kelce	TE		96	+8
110 R10	Brian Robinson	RB		173	-63
113 R10	Malik Washington	WR		184	-68
128 R11	Cyrus Allen	WR		180	-52
134 R12	Los Angeles Chargers	DEF		158	-24
137 R12	Omar Cooper	WR		196	-44
149 R13	Harrison Mevis	K		159	-10
152 R13	Bhayshul Tuten	RB	kept	58	—
161 R14	Bo Nix	QB	kept	120	—
176 R15	Baker Mayfield	QB		164	+12

SaschaLime — Aww Shough’s

#12 of 12 · draft slot 11 · finished 2nd last year · 13 picks (4 kept)

Proj. starters1509

Total pick − ADP -231

Avg / pick -25.7

QB 1 RB 4 WR 5 TE 2 DEF 1

Best value Omarion Hampton RB pick 11, ADP 16 (-5)

Biggest reach Tyler Shough QB pick 131, ADP 186 (-50)

All 13 picks

Pick	Player			ADP	Value
11 R1	Omarion Hampton	RB		16	-5
14 R2	A.J. Brown	WR		20	-6
35 R3	Emeka Egbuka	WR	kept	42	—
53 R5	George Kittle	TE		83	-30
83 R7	Tyler Allgeier	RB		132	-49
86 R8	Dallas Goedert	TE		128	-42
107 R9	Jordyn Tyson	WR		120	-13
120 R10	Woody Marks	RB		134	-14
131 R11	Tyler Shough	QB		186	-50
139 R12	Puka Nacua	WR	kept	6	—
155 R13	Kyren Williams	RB	kept	24	—
158 R14	Chris Bell	WR		198	-23
170 R15	Houston Texans	DEF	kept	104	—